China to aim for 7.5 percent growth in 2014 as exports recover

Tue Dec 24, 2013 5:34am EST
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By Kevin Yao

BEIJING (Reuters) - China will likely stick with this year's growth target of 7.5 percent for 2014 as top leaders balance the need to keep the economy on an even keel while pushing through necessary structural reforms, sources at top government think tanks said.

Growth will be supported by a steady recovery in China's exports next year thanks to stronger demand from developed economies, the commerce ministry's think tank said.

The 2014 growth target was endorsed at the annual Central Economic Work Conference earlier this month, when top leaders pledged to maintain policy stability and reasonable economic growth at the closed-door meeting.

Prior to the December 10-13 meeting, some top think tanks, including the State Information Centre and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, had proposed to lower next year's growth target to 7 percent to create more room for reforms and discourage local governments from pursuing high growth rates.

Top leaders believe that maintaining the 7.5 percent target will help keep growth humming to create more jobs, while providing wiggle room to deepen reforms, government economists involved in the discussions about the plans said.

"Two camps who proposed growth target - 7 percent or 7.5 percent - made their points. But the government favors 7.5 percent," said an economist at the State Information Centre, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the issue.

Key economic targets for 2014 will be announced by the government during the annual parliament meeting in March.

The world's second-largest economy is widely seen growing around 7.6-7.7 percent in 2013, just ahead of the government's 7.5 percent growth target, but still near the weakest pace since the Asian 1997-98 financial crisis.   Continued...

A labourer walks near a ship which is under construction at the Hudong-Zhonghua Shipbuilding company's shipyard in Shanghai October 14, 2013. REUTERS/Carlos Barria