Oil rises on Clinton election optimism but dollar, OPEC doubts weigh

Mon Nov 7, 2016 4:01pm EST
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By Ethan Lou

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices settled more than 1 percent higher on Monday, supported by news that U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton will not face charges over her emails.

Gains, however, were capped by a rallying dollar .DXY on Clinton's improved prospects, making greenback-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, and by doubts over OPEC's planned production cuts. [USD/]

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 settled at $44.89 per barrel, up 82 cents, or 1.9 percent. Brent crude LCOc1 ended 57 cents, or 1.3 percent, higher at $46.15 a barrel.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation said on Sunday it would not press charges against Clinton over her using a private email server. That indicated worse prospects for Republican candidate Donald Trump, whose stance on foreign policy, trade and immigration have unnerved markets.

On the eve of the election, U.S. stocks [.SPX] were set for their biggest one-day percentage gain since March 1, while a volatility measure was set for its biggest drop since late June. [.N]

But the price of oil is unlikely to rise further on U.S. politics, said David Thompson, executive vice-president at Powerhouse, an energy-specialized commodities broker in Washington.

"Will there be a larger rally after Clinton is elected? I'm not so sure," he said of the candidate's potential victory, citing not her policies for the rally, but "fear of the unknown" in the case of a Trump win.

WTI futures were also helped by a weekly drop of 442,077 barrels of oil at the delivery hub for crude futures in Cushing, Oklahoma, for the week ended Nov. 4, according to traders citing energy monitoring service Genscape.   Continued...

An oil well pump jack is seen at an oil field supply yard near Denver, Colorado, U.S., February 2, 2015.    REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo