Canadian canola, wheat stocks shrink less than expected
By Rod Nickel and Kaven Baker-Voakes
WINNIPEG/OTTAWA - Canadian canola and wheat stockpiles were sharply lower in midsummer from a year earlier but bigger than expected, a Statistics Canada report showed on Wednesday.
Statscan pegged the all-wheat stocks as of July 31, at 5.2 million tonnes, down 27 percent from a year ago but far exceeding the average trade expectation of 4.29 million tonnes.
Canola supplies amounted to 2 million tonnes, down 21 percent but topping the average trade guess of 1.27 million tonnes.
Trade expectations for wheat and canola likely differed widely from Statscan's stocks estimates because the agency found more crop being stored on farms than expected, when it surveyed growers, said Chuck Penner, owner of LeftField Commodity Research.
Statscan bumped up its estimate of last year's canola harvest to 18.4 million tonnes from 17.2 million to account for the extra supplies.
"Something had to give," Penner said. "It's a bigger adjustment than we were expecting."
Confirmation of bigger stockpiles at the end of the last marketing year is likely to weigh on canola prices, although wheat stocks are still relatively small, Penner said.
The market took the report in stride, however, and ICE Canada November canola futures rose slightly in early trading, in line with other oilseeds. Continued...