CANADA FX DEBT-C$ extends retreat as crude prices fall

Mon Feb 23, 2015 4:47pm EST
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(Adds fresh comment, closing figures, details)
    * Canadian dollar at C$1.2576, or 79.52 U.S. cents
    * Bond prices higher across the maturity curve

    By Solarina Ho
    TORONTO, Feb 23 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened for
the fourth straight session on Monday against a strong U.S.
dollar, hurt in large part by another slide in oil prices.
    The latest decline followed Friday's retreat after domestic
retail sales data for December fell more than
    Crude prices, which more than halved between June and
January, retreated on worries of excess crude supply. U.S. crude
stocks, which are already at record highs, are expected to build
in the coming months. The pace of the U.S. rig count decline,
which helped provide some price support earlier, was also
slowing. Canada is a major exporter of oil. 
    The Canadian dollar briefly recouped losses after the
Financial Times quoted the Nigerian Oil Minister and OPEC
president as saying the country might call for an OPEC
extraordinary meeting in the next six weeks or so if prices fell
further. But analysts said it will likely fail without Saudi
Arabia's support.
    "What that definitely shows is that oil is still a very key
and important driver for the Canadian dollar," said Rahim
Madhavji, president of commercial foreign exchange dealing firm,
    "What obviously didn't help was the poor retail sales that
came out last week."
    The Canadian dollar finished the session at
C$1.2576 to the greenback, or 79.52 U.S. cents, softer than
Friday's close of C$1.2546, or 79.71 U.S. cents.
    Looking ahead, investors will focus on a speech and press
conference by Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz on Tuesday
for any guidance on whether the central bank will cut interest
rates again at its rate announcement next week.
    The bank stunned markets in January with an unexpected rate
cut, and markets are currently pricing in a 76.9 percent chance
of another cut when it announces its decision on March 4.
    "They want to take a pre-emptive approach, they want a
weaker loonie, they can make that happen. All the cards are in
the hands of Poloz and the Bank of Canada, they're calling all
the shots," said Madhavji.
    Investors will also be watching testimony by Federal Reserve
Chair Janet Yellen on Tuesday, where she will deliver the U.S.
central bank's semi-annual monetary policy report to U.S.
    Canadian government bond prices were higher across the
maturity curve, with the two-year up 2.5 Canadian
cents to yield 0.388 percent and the benchmark 10-year
 up 63 Canadian cents to yield 1.359 percent.

 (Reporting by Solarina Ho; Editing by Paul Simao and Chris