November 21, 2016 / 10:27 PM / 8 months ago

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ gains as oil rally offsets soft domestic data

3 Min Read

(Adds strategist comment, updates prices to close)
    * Canadian dollar ends at C$1.3413, or 74.55 U.S. cents
    * Bond prices mixed across the maturity curve

    By Alastair Sharp
    TORONTO, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar gained
against its U.S. counterpart on Monday as a rally in oil
eclipsed weaker-than-expected domestic wholesale trade data.
    Oil prices jumped to their highest in three weeks, catching
a lift from a broadly weaker U.S. dollar and as OPEC appeared
closer to agreeing on an output cut when it meets next week.  
    "Leading into OPEC, any perception that an agreement can be
had to reduce or curtail production is having an impact on oil,"
said Jack Spitz, managing director of foreign exchange at
National Bank Financial. 
    "It's rumor, it's innuendo, it's not fact but it is creating
volatility and it happens to be upward today," he added.
    The Canadian dollar settled at C$1.3413 to the
greenback, or 74.55 U.S. cents, stronger than Friday's close of
C$1.3513, or 74.00 U.S. cents.
    Its strongest level of the day was C$1.3387 and its weakest
was C$1.3515.
    Brent crude futures settled at $48.90 a barrel, up
$2.04, or 4.4 percent. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 
gained 4 percent to settle at $47.49 a barrel, up $1.80. 
    The U.S. dollar pared some recent gains after rising
on Friday to its highest level since April 2003. 
    The value of Canadian wholesale trade unexpectedly fell by
1.2 percent in September from August, Statistics Canada data
showed. Analysts in a Reuters poll had predicted a 0.4 percent
gain. Sales in volume terms sank by 1.5 percent. 
    Canada's retail sales report for September is due on
Tuesday, with analysts eyeing a rebound from a decline in
August, in a possible sign that consumers have begun to spend
their new child benefit payments from the government. 
    Canadian government bond prices were mixed across the yield
curve, with the two-year up 0.5 Canadian cent to
yield 0.674 percent and the benchmark 10-year rising
8 Canadian cents to yield 1.570 percent.
    On Wednesday, the 10-year yield touched an 11-month high at
1.602 percent.
    Speculators cut bearish bets on the Canadian dollar,
according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data on
Friday. Net short Canadian dollar positions fell to 18,599
contracts in the week ended Nov. 15 from an eight-month high of
21,312 in the prior week. 
    
    

 (Additional reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by W Simon and
Lisa Shumaker)

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