CORRECTED-UPDATE 1-New Canada Liberal govt says inheriting gloomier fiscal outlook

Fri Nov 20, 2015 11:47am EST
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(Corrects figures in 7th paragraph to show that deficit would be C$900 million and not C$3 billion in 2016-17, and that subsequent years would show surpluses and not deficits)

By Randall Palmer

OTTAWA Nov 20 (Reuters) - Canada's new Liberal government said on Friday it was inheriting a significantly gloomier fiscal picture than previously expected, projecting billions of dollars of deficits despite previous Conservative forecasts of surpluses.

A large portion of this worse outlook is because the Liberals, who defeated the Conservatives in last month's federal election, lowered economic growth forecasts to levels well below the downwardly revised levels predicted by private-sector economists.

The move effectively adds a buffer or contingency reserve for worse-than-expected growth.

The fiscal update from Finance Minister Bill Morneau does not include infrastructure spending and other measures the Liberals pledged ahead of the election.

Excluding these, the government forecast the deficit would be C$3.0 billion ($2.3 billion) in the current fiscal year and C$3.9 billion in 2016-17, with deficits continuing through 2018-19.

This lower growth forecast adds C$1.5 billion to the projected deficit for 2015-16 and C$3.0 billion for each of the five years from 2016-17 on.

Without that economic adjustment, the deficits would be C$1.5 billion for 2015-16 and C$900 million for 2016-17, with surpluses in subsequent years.   Continued...