CANADA FX DEBT-C$ retreats from nearly 3-week high on dovish BoC

Wed Sep 7, 2016 11:55am EDT
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(Adds analyst quotes and details on Bank of Canada rate
decision and Ivey PMI, updates prices)
    * Canadian dollar at C$1.2897, or 77.54 U.S. cents
    * Loonie touches its strongest since Aug. 19 at C$1.2823
    * Bond prices higher across the yield curve

    By Fergal Smith
    TORONTO, Sept 7 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar fell against
its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday, retreating from a nearly
three-week high after a more dovish than expected Bank of Canada
    The central bank held its policy rate steady at 0.50 percent
even as it said global growth was weaker than expected, noting
that even if Canadian exports rebound, the ground lost over
previous months could lower the profile for economic activity.
    "The overall interpretation is maybe a little bit more
dovish than what we had thought going in," said David Tulk,
chief Canada macro strategist at TD Securities.
    Bets on a Bank of Canada interest rate cut increased very
slightly. The implied probability of a rate cut by the end of
the year rose to 13 percent from 10 percent before the rate
decision, overnight index swaps data showed. 
    The central bank's concern about the outlook for U.S.
business investment "feeds into the Canadian export profile,"
said Jimmy Jean, senior economist at Desjardins.
    Weak U.S. business investment has hampered a long-awaited
pick-up in growth of Canada's non-energy exports, while a weaker
Canadian dollar has not helped exports as much as expected.
    The pace of purchasing activity in Canada slowed more than
expected in August as employment growth slumped and inventories
grew, according to Ivey Purchasing Managers Index data. The
seasonally adjusted index fell to 52.3 from 57.0 in
    At 11:35 a.m. EDT (1535 GMT), the Canadian dollar 
was trading at C$1.2897 to the greenback, or 77.54 U.S. cents,
weaker than Tuesday's close of C$1.2847, or 77.84 U.S. cents.
    The currency's weakest level of the session was C$1.2914,
while it touched its strongest since Aug. 19 at C$1.2823.
    Losses for the loonie came despite higher oil prices. U.S.
crude oil futures were up 0.85 percent at $45.21 a
    Oil is one of Canada's major exports.
    Canadian government bond prices were higher across the
maturity curve, with the two-year bond up 5 Canadian
cents to yield 0.542 percent and the benchmark 10-year
 rising 16 Canadian cents to yield 1.008 percent.
    The 2-year yield fell further below its U.S. equivalent,
with the spread shifting 2.7 basis points to -19.2 basis points,
as Canadian government bonds outperformed.
    Canada's August employment report is due on Friday.
Investors will be looking to see whether the labor market can
recover some of the 31,200 jobs it unexpectedly lost the month

 (Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Nick Zieminski and Alan