Canada Conservatives would only win minority: poll

Fri Nov 13, 2009 1:46pm EST
 
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OTTAWA (Reuters) - Despite a comfortable lead in opinion polls, Canada's minority Conservative government would not likely improve on the results of the 2008 vote if a new election were held today, pollster Ekos said on Friday.

An Ekos poll released on Thursday showed the Conservatives maintain a 10 point lead over the Liberal Party, with 36.6 percent popular support versus 26.6 percent.

Those voting intentions would translate into 142 seats in the 308-seat House of Commons for the Conservatives and 78 for the Liberals, Ekos projected.

"In this scenario, the Conservatives and Liberals are within a seat of the 2008 results," Ekos said.

The Conservatives won the October 2008 vote with a strengthened minority, but still require the support of at least one opposition party to stay in power.

Ekos has the leftist New Democratic Party at 16.8 percent support, likely giving them 37 seats; the Greens at 11.2 percent but no seats; and the separatist Bloc Quebecois at 8.8 percent with 51 seats, all in the province of Quebec.

The automated telephone survey November 4-10 covered 3,502 people, a sample size that should be accurate to within 1.7 percentage points 19 times out of 20, Ekos said.

(Reporting by Louise Egan; editing by Rob Wilson)

 
<p>Canada's Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during Question Period in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa November 5, 2009. REUTERS/Blair Gable</p>