Conservatives hold 10-point lead in poll

Wed Mar 30, 2011 8:41am EDT
 
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TORONTO (Reuters) - The Conservative Party holds a 10-point lead over the Liberals ahead of the May 2 federal election, according to a poll released on Tuesday.

The Nanos Research tracking poll of results over three days of surveys put support for the Conservatives at 38.4 percent, compared to 28.7 percent for the Liberals and 19.6 percent for the left-leaning New Democrats.

That would be enough to ensure that the Conservatives remain the largest party in the Canadian Parliament, but would not give the party the majority they covet so dearly. The Conservatives have a minority government at present and needed support from at least one opposition party to stay in power.

The election, Canada's fourth in less than seven years, was triggered when all three parties withheld that support, triggering the defeat of the government.

The poll was a random telephone survey that Nanos conducts nightly throughout the campaign, interviewing a new group of 400 eligible voters each night.

The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample of 1,200 interviews. The pollsters put the margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents at plus or minus 2.8 percent, 19 times out of 20.

(Reporting Pav Jordan; editing by Janet Guttsman)

 
<p>Conservative leader and Canada's Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during a campaign stop at a marine equipment shop in Regina, Saskatchewan March 29, 2011. REUTERS/Chris Wattie</p>