Conservatives could get majority: poll

Sat Apr 9, 2011 8:04am EDT
 
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TORONTO (Reuters) - The Conservatives have a lead of about 9 points over the Liberals in an opinion poll released on Saturday, hovering around levels that could give them a majority in the May 2 federal election.

The Nanos Research tracking poll of results over three days of surveys put support for the Conservatives at 40.5 percent, barely changed from 40.6 in Friday's poll.

Support for the main opposition Liberals was at 31.7 percent, up slightly from 31.1 percent, while the left-leaning New Democratic Party fell to 13.2 percent from 14.9 percent.

Under Canada's first-past-the-post electoral system, a party needs around 40 percent of the vote to win a majority of the 308 seats in the House of Commons.

The past two governments have been Conservative minorities, requiring the Tories to get support from at least one other party to maintain power. The government was defeated in a non-confidence motion on March 25.

The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling telephone sample of 1,001 decided voters and is considered accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

(Reporting by Janet Guttsman; Editing by Vicki Allen)

 
<p>Conservative leader and Canada's Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during a campaign rally in Hamilton, Ontario April 7, 2011. Canadians will head to the polls in a federal election on May 2. REUTERS/Chris Wattie</p>