Conservatives hold opinion poll lead

Sat Apr 16, 2011 11:23am EDT
 
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TORONTO (Reuters) - Canada's ruling Conservative Party is holding on to a 10-point lead over its liberal rivals even as support for the left-leaning New Democratic Party rises, according to a poll released on Saturday.

The Nanos Research tracking poll of results over three days of surveys showed support for the Conservatives at 38.8 percent, barely changed from 38.7 percent on Friday. The poll showed the Liberals will have 28.8 percent of the vote, unchanged from Friday.

Support for the New Democrats rose to 19.2 percent from 18.6 percent on Friday and levels around 13 percent a week ago.

Under Canada's electoral system, a party needs about 40 percent of the vote to win a majority of the 308 seats in the House of Commons.

The Conservatives had a minority in the last Parliament and needed support from at least one other party to stay in power. The government was defeated on March 25 and the federal election is scheduled for May 2.

The daily Nanos tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling telephone sample of 1,200 decided voters and are considered accurate within 2.8 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

Results from the last three days of polling are as follows:

Poll Release Date April 16 April 15 April 14 Conservatives 38.8 38.7 38.9 Liberals 28.8 28.8 31.9

NDP 19.2 18.6 18.3 Bloc Quebecois 8.5 9.0 7.5 Greens 3.4 3.7 3.1

(Reporting by Janet Guttsman; Editing by Deborah Charles)

 
<p>Prime Minister Stephen Harper talks with supporters as part of his election campaign tour in Saskatoon April 15, 2011. REUTERS/David Stobbe</p>