Conservatives close to clinching majority

Tue Apr 19, 2011 8:44am EDT
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TORONTO (Reuters) - The ruling Conservative Party remained close to clinching a majority government but support for its Liberal rivals picked up slightly, according to a poll released on Tuesday.

The Nanos Research tracking poll of results over three days of surveys showed support for the Conservatives steady at 39.8 percent from Monday. The poll showed the Liberals have 30.2 percent of the vote, up from 29.8 percent of the vote on Monday.

Support for the New Democrats dipped to 17.3 percent from 17.4 percent on Monday.

Under Canada's electoral system, a party needs about 40 percent of the vote to win a majority of the 308 seats in the House of Commons.

The Conservatives had a minority in the last Parliament and needed support from at least one other party to stay in power. The federal election is scheduled for May 2.

The daily Nanos tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling telephone sample of 1,012 decided voters and are considered accurate within 3.1 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

Results from the last three days of polling are as follows:

Poll Release Date April 18 April 17 April 16

Conservatives 39.8 39.8 39.0   Continued...

<p>Prime Minister Stephen Harper talks with supporters as part of his election campaign tour in Saskatoon April 15, 2011. REUTERS/David Stobbe</p>