Strong reviews put 'Star Wars' in reach of 'Jurassic' box office record

Wed Dec 16, 2015 3:30pm EST
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By Lisa Richwine

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Glowing reviews on Wednesday boosted weekend forecasts for Walt Disney Co's "Star Wars: The Force Awakens," according to box office analysts who projected the long-awaited film will open near the record set this year by "Jurassic World."

The first "Star Wars" movie in a decade will likely haul in between $180 million and $223 million in the United States and Canada from its Thursday night debut through Sunday, experts said after the film scored a 97 percent positive rating on review aggregation site Rotten Tomatoes.

But to become one of the top three biggest ever movies worldwide over the long haul, The Force will need to work its power on China, where the movie opens in January.

The current all-time box office champ is 2009's "Avatar" with $2.8 billion in global ticket sales, followed by the 1997 movie "Titanic" with $2.2 billion.

"The Force Awakens" needs repeat customers in China to reach those numbers. The last "Star Wars" film, 2005's "Revenge of the Sith," collected just $9 million in China.

"That all depends on China,” said Jeff Bock, senior box office analyst at Exhibitor Relations Co. “Outside of 'Avatar,' sci-fi hasn’t had a really good track record overseas.”

The positive reviews will draw people outside of the rabid "Star Wars" fan base, said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Rentrak.

"That's what's going to get it into the billion-dollar club, then the two-billion-dollar club," he said. "Even more important, this sets the stage and the tone for the whole rebooted franchise."   Continued...

Droid BB-8 arrives at the world premiere of the film "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" in Hollywood, California, December 14, 2015. REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni