July 24, 2012 / 5:37 AM / 5 years ago

Oil rises towards $104 on China data

An employee holds a gas pump at a gas station of Hyundai Oilbank in Seoul June 15, 2012. REUTERS/Choi Dae-woong

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil climbed towards $104 a barrel on Tuesday as China’s economy showed signs of improvement, though gains were checked by further evidence of damage to Europe’s economy.

China’s manufacturing output in July grew at its fastest pace in nine months, helping lift an index of activity in the country’s factory sector to its highest level since February and suggesting pro-growth government policies are having an impact.

“(Oil prices) are finding support from the preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index for the manufacturing sector in China ... pointing to growing economic activity in the second-largest oil consumer country,” said a Commerzbank research note.

“The preliminary purchasing managers’ indices from the eurozone, on the other hand, remain persistently at recession level and are thus likely to counter any stronger price recovery.”

Brent crude gained 47 cents to trade at $103.73 a barrel by 8:50 a.m. EDT (1350 GMT), after reaching $104.26 in earlier trade.

U.S. crude rose 46 cents to trade at $88.61.

Brent fell more than 3 percent on Monday after Spain’s central bank said the euro zone’s fourth-largest economy sank deeper into recession in the second quarter, stoking fears the country was headed for a bailout.

“We started off buoyant after the Chinese data, then the European data wasn’t so good, which hit oil,” said Rob Montefusco, a trader at Sucden Financial.

“The dollar index has firmed up as the euro came off, and I can’t see any strength in oil as long as the euro is so weak.”

Even Germany, Europe’s largest economy, is feeling the chill from the debt crisis. Its private sector shrank for a third straight month in July, suggesting the economy may contract in the third quarter after an expected fall in the second.

Further clouding investor sentiment, Moody’s Investors Service changed its outlook for Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg to negative from stable and cited an increased chance that Greece could leave the euro zone.

In earlier trade, China, the world’s biggest energy consumer, had offered investors some optimism.

MIDDLE EAST UNCERTAINTY

Oil found some support from supply worries triggered by turmoil in Syria and tension between Iran and the West over Tehran’s nuclear program.

As international pressure continues on President Bashar al-Assad’s government, Syria acknowledged on Monday that it had chemical and biological weapons and said it could use them if foreign countries intervened in its civil war.

“The risks of escalation of the conflict in Syria, we think, will continue to limit the extent of any bearish sentiment,” ANZ analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

Moderating recent threats from Iranian officials about shutting a vital oil shipping lane, a military commander was quoted on Monday as saying Iran would not close the Strait of Hormuz as long as it was able to use the lane itself.

Also on the supply front, U.S. crude oil stockpiles are forecast to have remained unchanged over the last week as a drop in imports was offset by lower refinery run rates, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

Additional reporting by Simon Falush in London and Jessica Jaganathan in Singapore; editing by James Jukwey

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