November 16, 2015 / 12:41 AM / 3 years ago

World stocks surge, impact from Paris attacks seen limited

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar rose and global equity markets gained on Monday as analysts saw limited economic impact worldwide from Friday’s deadly attacks in Paris, although the sale of luxury goods and stocks geared to tourism in the French capital may suffer.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, November 16, 2015. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Asian shares hit six-week lows overnight as investors bought safe-haven assets, including gold, the yen and low-risk government debt. But stocks on Wall Street climbed more than 1 percent and European shares rebounded from early losses.

Gold rose from last week’s six-year low as the attacks in Paris, which left 129 people dead and hundreds wounded, prompted an initial bout of global risk aversion.

However, market worries proved short-lived and gold pared gains as investors renewed their focus on expectations the Federal Reserve will raise U.S. interest rates in December.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up0.3 percent at $1,083.60 an ounce.

“Expectations are that (the attacks) will have a modest potential economic impact,” said Eric Wiegand, senior portfolio manager at the Private Client Reserve at U.S. Bank in New York.

Police raided the homes of suspected Islamist militants across France overnight, arresting 23 people, and investigators identified a Belgian national living in Syria as the possible mastermind behind the Paris attacks, which killed 129 people. French President Francois Hollande vowed to destroy Islamic State, the militant group which claimed responsibility.

The euro was off 0.87 percent versus the greenback at $1.0683.

France’s CAC index closed down 0.08 percent, weighed by declines in tourism-related stocks. French hotel group Accor dropped 4.7 percent and Air France shed 5.7 percent.

Luxury stocks also slid, though less so. Hermes and LVMH both fell 1.4 percent, while Kering slipped 0.7 percent. Spending by foreign tourists in Paris makes up a large chunk of these companies’ sales.

The STOXX 60 Travel & Leisure index of mostly London-listed shares fell 1.3 percent amid fears the sector could be hit by a loss of consumer confidence.

“Paris is one of the most important cities worldwide in terms of luxury spending and the timing is not good, too - a few weeks before Christmas, the most important period for retailers,” said Gregoire Laverne, fund manager at Roche Brune Asset Management.

MSCI’s all-country world index rebounded, gaining 0.6 percent, while the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index closed up 0.2 percent at 1,460.75.

Steven Einhorn, vice chairman of hedge fund Omega Advisors, said he expects U.S. stocks easily to outperform bonds in 2016, with a total return of 6 percent to 8 percent.

Investors will come to accept a long-lasting U.S. economic expansion with a friendly Federal Reserve, Einhorn told the Reuters Global Investment Outlook Summit in New York.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 237.77 points, or 1.38 percent, to 17,483.01. The S&P 500 gained 30.15 points, or 1.49 percent, to 2,053.19 and the Nasdaq Composite added 56.73 points, or 1.15 percent, to 4,984.62.

U.S. Treasuries prices rose slightly on concerns over Friday’s attacks in Paris, though the gains were pared as investors still expect the Fed to raise rates in December.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose 3/32 in price to yield 2.2693 percent.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.4 percent at 99.365.

The dollar rose against the yen, adding 0.46 percent to 123.19 yen per dollar, amid expectations the Fed will hike in December.

Brent crude oil prices pared losses to rise as worries about the economic impact of Friday’s attacks ebbed, while U.S. crude rose with gains in the stock market.

Front-month Brent crude settled 9 cents higher at $44.56 a barrel. U.S. futures rose $1.00 to settle at $41.74.

Reporting by Herbert Lash in New York; Additional reporting by Saikat Chatterjee in Hong Kong, Lisa Twaronite in Tokyo, Atul Prakash, John Geddie and Anirban Nag in London and Alexandre Boksenbaum-Granier in Paris; Editing by Nick Zieminski and James Dalgleish

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