TORONTO (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart on Monday, trimming last week’s gains, as Friday’s short-covering rally in crude oil prices was partly unwound.
The currency rallied 3.0 percent last week after the Bank of Canada surprised many traders by leaving its policy rate on hold at 0.50 percent.
However, expectations that the central bank will cut by July has nudged higher to 86 percent. It was 78 percent after much stronger than expected retail sales data on Friday.
U.S. crude oil prices fell more than 3 percent as Iraq announced record-high oil production.
At 9:18 a.m. EST, the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading at C$1.4193 to the greenback, or 70.46 U.S. cents, weaker than Friday’s official close of C$1.4150, or 70.67 U.S. cents.
The currency’s strongest level of the session was C$1.4127, while its weakest level was C$1.4220.
Bearish bets on the Canadian dollar rose in the week ended Jan. 19. Net short Canadian dollar positions increased to 66,386 contracts from 59,214 in the prior week, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.
Attention has shifted to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate announcement on Wednesday, as well as the conclusion of the Bank of Japan policy meeting on Friday.
Canadian government bond prices were higher across the maturity curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR price up 3 Canadian cents to yield 0.441 percent and the benchmark 10-year CA10YT=RR rising 30 Canadian cents to yield 1.285 percent.
The curve flattened in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries, as the spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by 1.7 basis points to 84.4 basis points, indicating outperformance for longer-dated maturities.
The Canada-U.S. 10-year bond spread was 1.1 basis points wider at -74.1 basis points, trimming underperformance last week by Canadian government bonds.
Canadian GDP for November is awaited on Friday, expected to reveal a rebound in growth after contraction in October. ECONCA
Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama