March 13, 2020 / 8:09 PM / in 15 days

TSX rallies by most in a decade as investors cheer economic stimulus

(Adds details on stimulus, market activity; updates prices)

* Toronto stock index rallies 6.5%

* TSX is on track to fall about 18% for the week

* Bank of Canada cuts key policy rate by 50 basis points

* Canada’s 10-year yield rises 16.1 basis points to 0.754%

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, March 13 (Reuters) - Canada’s main stock market notched on Friday its biggest gain since October 2008, as Canada ramped up stimulus to ease the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak, while the Canadian dollar edged higher after hitting an earlier four-year low.

The Bank of Canada unexpectedly cut its overnight rate by 50 basis points to 0.75%, its second half-point cut in nine days, and the government said it would offer C$10 billion in credit support to businesses.

Hopes of coordinated stimulus from world governments boosted stocks globally after several sessions of sustained, heavy losses on expectations of a global slowdown that could be prolonged.

U.S. President Donald Trump declared a national emergency to help facilitate increased funding to combat the virus.

The Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index, was up 8% at 13,520.53, recovering some ground after a record decline on Thursday. For the week, the index was on track to fall about 15%, its biggest drop in Refinitiv Eikon data going back to July 1979.

Nine of the TSX’s 10 main groups were higher, led by a 10.1% gain for the heavily-weighted financial services sector, while energy was up 5.6%.

The price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, had its biggest weekly slide since the 2008 financial crisis despite settling 0.7% higher on Friday, as the coronavirus outbreak threatened demand and crude producers promised more supply.

Despite prospects for stimulus, economists see potential for Canada’s economy to slip into recession.

“We’re penciling in two negative quarters in Q2 and Q3 at this point,” said Nathan Janzen, a senior economist at Royal Bank of Canada “Negatives from the virus and the oil price shock are too much to keep growth positive.”

Money markets expect the Bank of Canada to ease by an additional 25 basis points at its next scheduled rate announcement on April 15.

The Canadian dollar was trading 0.1% higher at 1.3912 to the greenback, or 71.88 U.S. cents, having touched its weakest intraday level since February 2016 at 1.3996.

Canadian government bond yields rose across a steeper yield curve, with the 10-year yield up 16.1 basis points at 0.754%. On Monday, the 10-year yield hit a record low at 0.233%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith Editing by Paul Simao)

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