February 18, 2010 / 1:14 PM / 10 years ago

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ gains after higher Canadian inflation

 * Inflation rate jumps, nears central bank target
 * C$ rises after data, but down from previous close
 * Bond prices down, digesting CPI and higher stocks
 By Ka Yan Ng
 TORONTO, Feb 18 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar rose
against the U.S. dollar on Thursday after data showed inflation
in the country rose slightly higher than expected, encouraging
talk about early interest rate hikes.
 Canada's annual inflation rate in January jumped to 1.9
percent from 1.3 percent in December on higher gasoline and car
prices, Statistics Canada said. Expectations had been for a
year-on-year reading of 1.8 percent.  [ID:nN18179821]
 "CPI was a little bit firmer than expected. It's one of
those things that will get people talking about what is going
to happen to the Bank of Canada," said David Watt, senior
currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
 He said he didn't expect the the Bank of Canada would react
to the higher-than-expected figures even as they neared the
Bank of Canada's target, the midpoint of a 1-3 percent range.
 The Bank of Canada has pledged to hold its key interest
rate unchanged until the end of June as long as inflation stays
in check.
 The firmer-than-expected CPI number on Thursday prompted
talk the central bank could break that conditional promise,
although analysts said the inflation figures should smooth out
in the coming months as the base effects of low fuel prices a
year earlier which could fall out of the equation by mid-2010.
 The Canadian dollar CAD=D4 rose as high as C$1.0441 to
the U.S. dollar, or 95.78 U.S. cents from C$1.0466 to the U.S.
dollar, or 95.55 U.S. cents, ahead of the data.
 At 7:55 a.m. (1255 GMT), the Canadian dollar was at
C$1.0457 to the U.S. dollar, or 95.63 U.S. cents, down a touch
from Wednesday's close at C$1.0452, or 95.68 U.S. cents.
 It was much softer overnight, extending Wednesday's decline
as the greenback received a boost from upbeat U.S. housing data
and U.S. Federal Reserve minutes, while euro zone woes weighed
on riskier currencies.
 Meanwhile, Canadian bonds were slightly lower after the CPI
figures as they approached the Bank of Canada's target, while
also under pressure because of stronger equity markets.
 "The bond market will not like this number because the 2
percent is a sensitive number," said Benjamin Tal, senior
economist at CIBC World Markets. "The minute we touch this
number, the bond market gets nervous."
 The two-year Canadian government bond CA2YT=RR was down 3
Canadian cents at C$100.29 to yield 1.354 percent, while the
10-year bond CA10YT=RR fell 12 Canadian cents to C$102.06 to
yield 3.488 percent.
 (Additional reporting by Scott Anderson)
 (Editing by Theodore d'Afflisio)

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