October 9, 2014 / 11:15 AM / 4 years ago

RPT-Actavis deal for Allergan would be huge bet on branded drugs

(Repeats Oct. 8 story for wider readership)

By Bill Berkrot

Oct 8 (Reuters) - If Actavis Plc proceeds with a purchase of Botox maker Allergan Inc for potentially more than $60 billion, it will represent the biggest bet yet by one of the traditional generic drugmakers on the upside of expanding branded medicine holdings.

Reuters reported on Tuesday that Actavis plans to approach Allergan about a potential merger, providing an alternative to the hostile pursuit by Valeant Pharmaceuticals International that Allergan had repeatedly rebuffed.

Such a transaction would accelerate a trend by the world’s biggest generic drugmakers to build up their branded medicine portfolios and make Actavis one of the biggest players in specialty pharmaceuticals. Industry experts say the move would further break down the distinctions between generics, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology players.

“Biotech is becoming even more complex, while big pharma is now where biotech was 10 years ago in terms of what they’re looking for with cancer and orphan drug indications,” said Sanford Bernstein analyst Ronny Gal, referring to expensive medications for rare diseases. “And the generics are pushing in to where pharma used to be.”

As the U.S. generics business becomes saturated, with more than 80 percent of prescriptions already being written for cheap generic drugs, manufacturers have increasingly turned their attention to higher-profit branded medicines.

“They all always had a little bit of branded activity. The next logical step is to get back into the U.S. market more on the branded side,” said Canaccord Genuity analyst Corey Davis.

Rival Teva Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd, which has the world’s largest portfolio of generic offerings, makes most of its profit from its branded multiple sclerosis drug Copaxone and added to its branded specialty drug holdings in 2011 with the $6.8 billion acquisition of Cephalon. Mylan Inc sells EpiPen for severe allergic reactions and branded respiratory drugs.

Actavis had already beefed up its specialty pharmaceuticals business with the $25 billion purchase of Forest Laboratories this year and its $8.5 billion acquisition of Warner-Chilcott in 2013.

With Allergan it would own Botox, which derives much of its annual $2.2 billion in sales from the anti-wrinkle business, and reap the benefits of the compound’s growing medical uses, including for migraines, overactive bladder and upper limb spasticity, as well as a lucrative stable of ophthalmology drugs. Botox is also a very complex molecule that is extremely difficult to replicate, and so is in no imminent danger of facing generic competition of its own.

“You walk away from the treadmill of having to reinvent yourself every 10 years,” Gal said of the patent expiration cycle of traditional pharmaceuticals.

New Actavis chief executive Brent Saunders has the right skill set to run the combined company, analysts said. Saunders was an executive at drugmaker Schering-Plough, before taking over as CEO of eye care company Bausch&Lomb and later specialty pharma company Forest Labs.

“Probably the next logical step in his career is to run something on the scale that an Actavis/Allergan merger would create. I think he’s got aspirations of turning Actavis into a much bigger company than it is now,” Davis said.

Saunders is almost surely going to be more palatable to Allergan management than Valeant Chief Executive Michael Pearson, who has a reputation of slashing research and development at companies he acquires.

“He understands the opthalmology business and he’s a pharma guy,” Stern, Agee analyst Shibani Malhotra said of Saunders.

“Both companies realize that this is one way that Allergan can sell the company, but be assured that they’re selling to someone who would run the business like Allergan would run the business.” (Reporting by Bill Berkrot in New York; editing by Michele Gershberg and Matthew Lewis)

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